Friday, 6 October 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 18, 25) with the draw of 28 April 2017 — its closest relative in 2,732 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 October 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 100 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.