Thursday, 9 July 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 23, 32, 33) with the draw of 9 July 2019 — its closest relative in 3,738 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 67% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 July 2020): 7, 23 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 114 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.