Wednesday, 21 July 2010

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 24, 31) with the draw of 12 June 2010 — its closest relative in 105 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 July 2010): 31 carried over. Chance says 55% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 111 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 93. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24, 24–25. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.