Wednesday, 5 August 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 25, 34, 35) with the draw of 25 December 2011 — its closest relative in 1,936 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 55% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 August 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 55% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 103 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 93. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.