Thursday, 12 July 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 16, 31, 36) with the draw of 2 February 2018 — its closest relative in 3,005 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 71% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 July 2018): 31 carried over. Chance says 55% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 103 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 93. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.