Thursday, 16 July 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 10, 13, 23) with the draw of 27 May 2013 — its closest relative in 3,740 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 July 2020): 3 carried over. Chance says 55% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 82 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 93. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.