Friday, 12 August 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (8, 12, 20, 32) with the draw of 31 March 2020 — its closest relative in 4,497 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 August 2022): 12 carried over. Chance says 55% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 89 — the 43th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 93. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.