Monday, 21 April 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 37, 38, 47) with the draw of 24 July 2010 — its closest relative in 631 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 49% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 April 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 57% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 143 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 147. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9, 37–38. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.