Monday, 23 February 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 23, 25, 29) with the draw of 16 February 2013 — its closest relative in 763 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 56% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 February 2015): 25 carried over. Chance says 57% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 157 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 147. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 31% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.