Monday, 9 November 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (23, 33, 45) with the draw of 6 July 2015 — its closest relative in 874 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 November 2015): 5 carried over. Chance says 57% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 159 — the 64th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 147. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 49% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.