Wednesday, 10 October 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (20, 25, 34, 35) with the draw of 17 January 2018 — its closest relative in 1,331 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 76% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 October 2018): 34, 36 carried over. Chance says 57% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 191 — the 91th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 147. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35, 35–36. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 63% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.