Tuesday, 22 June 2010

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 41, 43) with the draw of 6 May 2010 — its closest relative in 75 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 43% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 June 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 152 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 110. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 40% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.