Wednesday, 11 February 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (8, 9, 20, 33) with the draw of 5 June 2013 — its closest relative in 1,764 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 30% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 February 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 93 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 110. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 40% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.