Friday, 30 October 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (10, 21, 22, 29) with the draw of 3 September 2013 — its closest relative in 2,024 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 33% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 October 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 115 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 110. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 40% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.