Monday, 24 November 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (6, 7, 17) with the draw of 3 July 2014 — its closest relative in 312 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 November 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 135 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.