Thursday, 16 August 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 30, 43, 45) with the draw of 31 October 2017 — its closest relative in 994 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 63% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 August 2018): 13, 43 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 153 — the 53th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.