Friday, 1 February 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 13, 25) with the draw of 21 December 2018 — its closest relative in 1,163 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 January 2019): 4 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 162 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 63% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.