Saturday, 31 August 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (17, 19, 24, 30) with the draw of 23 October 2014 — its closest relative in 1,374 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 August 2019): 8 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 109 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.