Tuesday, 3 December 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 15, 20, 46) with the draw of 18 March 2019 — its closest relative in 1,468 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 77% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 December 2019): 10 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 130 — the 27th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 29% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.