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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Match 6 Lotto · draw

Tuesday, 5 January 2021

ResultMatch 6 Lotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 10
  3. 17
  4. 21
  5. 25
  6. 48

Jackpot$1,910,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Apr 2011draw 1,868 of 3,989 under them

← 2021-01-04All recent draws2021-01-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:52 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 10 17 21 25 4829 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

29oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd77th
  • low94th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 229 of each

1217times
10217times
17252times
21245times
25

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-05

  • Lines in play≈ 32Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.1Mto 60k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 539lines took a prize
  • Match 6 of 182,636 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 6 of 1891%$1.9M
  • Match 5 of 183.0%$64.7K
  • Match 4 of 183.6%$76.6K
  • 5 other tiers2.5%$54.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 of 182 rows folded in2,636≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

239times
48214times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,867 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 10, 25, 48) with the draw of 31 August 2018 — its closest relative in 1,867 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 January 2021): 1 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

122

The numbers add up to 122 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 31% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$1,910,000
  • Match 5 of 182 rows folded in10,557≈ 593 by chance$1,000
  • Match 4 of 182 rows folded in31,135≈ 31k by chance$20.00
  • Match 3 of 614,711≈ 567k by chance$2.00
  • Match 10+ of 181$2,500
  • Match 9 of 186$1,000
  • Match 8 of 1871$50.00
  • Match 7 of 18510$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈32M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 of 18 — 10,557 winners, 1680% more than the 593 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 of 61$1,910,000
    Match 5 of 612$1,000
    Match 4 of 6798$20.00
    Match 3 of 614,711$2.00
    Match 10+ of 181$2,500
    Match 9 of 186$1,000
    Match 8 of 1871$50.00
    Match 7 of 18510$25.00
    Match 6 of 182,635$10.00
    Match 5 of 1810,545$5.00
    Match 4 of 1830,337$2.00
    Totals59,627—