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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Match 6 Lotto · draw

Sunday, 4 July 2021

ResultMatch 6 Lotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 5
  4. 20
  5. 22
  6. 23

Jackpot$5,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Apr 2011draw 2,048 of 3,989 under them

← 2021-07-03All recent draws2021-07-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:52 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 5 20 22 2329 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd48th
  • low99th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 251 of each

1239times
4255times
5249times
20242times
22

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-04

  • Lines in play≈ 53Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$376.6Kto 98k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 539lines took a prize
  • Match 6 of 184,282 winnerschance said 3.8

Where the money went

  • Match 5 of 1832%$119.9K
  • Match 4 of 1834%$126.9K
  • Match 3 of 613%$48.2K
  • 5 other tiers22%$81.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 of 182 rows folded in4,282≈ 3.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

249times
23229times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,047 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 5, 20) with the draw of 16 June 2021 — its closest relative in 2,047 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

75

The numbers add up to 75 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5, 22–23. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$5,000,000
  • Match 5 of 182 rows folded in17,405≈ 971 by chance$1,000
  • Match 4 of 182 rows folded in50,979≈ 51k by chance$20.00
  • Match 3 of 624,115≈ 929k by chance$2.00
  • Match 10+ of 181$2,500
  • Match 9 of 1810$1,000
  • Match 8 of 18124$50.00
  • Match 7 of 18806$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈53M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 of 18 — 17,405 winners, 1692% more than the 971 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 of 60$5,000,000
    Match 5 of 633$1,000
    Match 4 of 61,385$20.00
    Match 3 of 624,115$2.00
    Match 10+ of 181$2,500
    Match 9 of 1810$1,000
    Match 8 of 18124$50.00
    Match 7 of 18806$25.00
    Match 6 of 184,282$10.00
    Match 5 of 1817,372$5.00
    Match 4 of 1849,594$2.00
    Totals97,722—