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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Match 6 Lotto · draw

Tuesday, 15 July 2025

ResultMatch 6 Lotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 16
  3. 34
  4. 38
  5. 44
  6. 49

Jackpot$620,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Apr 2011draw 3,520 of 3,989 under them

← 2025-07-14All recent draws2025-07-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:52 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 16 34 38 44 4929 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 July 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.

  • sum87th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 431 of each

7446times
16464times
34407times
38467times
44

Prize breakdown · 2025-07-15

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$83.9Kto 21k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 542lines took a prize
  • Match 6 of 18929 winnerschance said 0.82

Where the money went

  • Match 5 of 1830%$25.5K
  • Match 4 of 1833%$28K
  • Match 3 of 613%$10.5K
  • 5 other tiers24%$19.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 6 of 182 rows folded in929≈ 0.82 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

454times
49414times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,519 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (16, 34, 38, 49) with the draw of 20 February 2025 — its closest relative in 3,519 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 July 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

188

The numbers add up to 188 — the 87th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 61% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$590,000
  • Match 5 of 182 rows folded in3,712≈ 212 by chance$1,000
  • Match 4 of 182 rows folded in11,132≈ 11k by chance$20.00
  • Match 3 of 65,263≈ 203k by chance$2.00
  • Match 10+ of 181$2,500
  • Match 9 of 183$1,000
  • Match 8 of 1824$50.00
  • Match 7 of 18157$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 of 6 — 5,263 winners, 97% fewer than the 203k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 of 60$590,000
    Match 5 of 67$1,000
    Match 4 of 6317$20.00
    Match 3 of 65,263$2.00
    Match 10+ of 181$2,500
    Match 9 of 183$1,000
    Match 8 of 1824$50.00
    Match 7 of 18157$25.00
    Match 6 of 18929$10.00
    Match 5 of 183,705$5.00
    Match 4 of 1810,815$2.00
    Totals21,221—