Friday, 22 February 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 18, 22) with the draw of 17 January 2013 — its closest relative in 1,044 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 February 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 100 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 78. No two numbers side by side. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.