Monday, 26 May 2014

Its nearest twin

This exact draw has happened before, on 1 October 2010. Chance gave a match this close a 1.0% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 May 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 76 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 78. No two numbers side by side. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.