Thursday, 10 July 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (4, 8, 14, 30) with the draw of 21 April 2013 — its closest relative in 1,546 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 July 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 67 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 78. No two numbers side by side. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.