Tuesday, 24 December 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (4, 7, 15, 22) with the draw of 20 September 2016 — its closest relative in 3,173 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 December 2019): 22 carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 61 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 78. No two numbers side by side. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.