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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 5 November 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 31
  3. 50
  4. 51
  5. 69
  6. 8

Jackpot$217,000,000

The crowdHeld 12% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 114 of 1,437 under them

← 2016-11-02All recent draws2016-11-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 31 50 51 69 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 November 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd89th
  • low33th
  • widest gap31th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

215times
319times
5010times
513times
69

Prize breakdown · 2016-11-05

  • Lines in play≈ 18Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$4.2Mto 724k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25%$1.1M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball18%$761.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45%$1.9M
  • 4 other tiers12%$516.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

13times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

84times

Every number was expected about that many times after 113 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (21, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 February 2016 — its closest relative in 113 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 November 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

222

The numbers add up to 222 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 50–51. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 0.06 by chance
$217,000,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.6 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball21≈ 20 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4452≈ 504 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,067≈ 1.3k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball24,016≈ 26k by chance$7.00
  • Match 328,063≈ 32k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball190,437≈ 200k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball480,265≈ 480k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,067 winners, 16% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball480,265$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball190,437$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball24,016$7.00
    Match 328,063$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,067$100
    Match 4452$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball21$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$217,000,000