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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Powerball · draw
ResultPowerball
Jackpot$444,000,000
The crowdHeld 95% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 1,415 of 1,437 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 33% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,414 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (4, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 September 2026 — its closest relative in 1,414 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 September 2026): 4, 44 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 204 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →59 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈20M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 29,527 winners, 96% fewer than the 710k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 + Powerball | 0 | $444,000,000 |
| Match 5 | 1 | $1,000,000 |
| Match 4 + Powerball | 17 | $50,000 |
| Match 4 | 345 | $100 |
| Match 3 + Powerball | 977 | $100 |
| Match 3 | 23,664 | $7.00 |
| Match 2 + Powerball | 20,877 | $7.00 |
| Match 1 + Powerball | 162,942 | $4.00 |
| Match 0 + Powerball | 400,626 | $4.00 |
| Match 2 | 29,527 | $8.00 |
| Match 5 (with Power Play) | 0 | $2,000,000 |
| Match 4 + Powerball (with Power Play) | 6 | $100,000 |
| Match 4 (with Power Play) | 101 | $200 |
| Match 3 + Powerball (with Power Play) | 285 | $200 |
| Match 3 (with Power Play) | 6,796 | $14.00 |
| Match 2 + Powerball (with Power Play) | 6,057 | $14.00 |
| Match 1 + Powerball (with Power Play) | 47,277 | $8.00 |
| Match 0 + Powerball (with Power Play) | 119,320 | $8.00 |
| Totals | 818,818 | — |