Monday, 25 July 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 19, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 June 2022 — its closest relative in 38 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 41% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 July 2022): 19 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (9% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 98 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 90. No two numbers side by side. 48% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.