Friday, 3 January 2025

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (4, 12, 24, 25) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 June 2024 — its closest relative in 412 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 17% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 December 2024): 4, 27 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 0 repeated (9% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 92 — the 53th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 90. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 48% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.