Saturday, 23 May 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 9, 32) with the draw of 20 November 2014 — its closest relative in 801 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 May 2015): 32 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 88 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 90. Side-by-side numbers: 31–32. 48% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.