Saturday, 16 June 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (12, 16, 29, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 March 2018 — its closest relative in 247 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 7.8% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 June 2018): 18, 29 carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (3% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 105 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.