Saturday, 24 April 2021

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 30, 34) with the draw of 3 March 2021 — its closest relative in 1,153 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 April 2021): 14 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 102 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 90. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 48% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.