Wednesday, 22 October 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 26, 31, 32) with the draw of 27 November 2010 — its closest relative in 1,499 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 43% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 October 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 110 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 95. Side-by-side numbers: 31–32. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.