Saturday, 4 March 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 11, 13) with the draw of 12 January 2017 — its closest relative in 2,240 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 March 2017): 6 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 66 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 95. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.