Wednesday, 25 April 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 6, 7, 27) with the draw of 29 July 2016 — its closest relative in 2,592 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 62% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 April 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 75 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 95. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.