Tuesday, 7 August 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 10, 12, 31) with the draw of 4 April 2011 — its closest relative in 2,229 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 August 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 57% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 83 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 88. No two numbers side by side. 49% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.