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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 10 March 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 28
  3. 31
  4. 38
  5. 45
  6. 49

Jackpot$6,800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 343 of 2,631 under them

← 2012-03-07All recent draws2012-03-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 28 31 38 45 4929 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 March 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd77th
  • low5th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each

1536times
2843times
3140times
3847times
45

Prize breakdown · 2012-03-10

  • Lines in play≈ 1.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$98.1Kto 19k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 515%$15K
  • Match 429%$28.3K
  • Match 356%$54.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.07 by chance$6,800,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

40times
4941times

Every number was expected about that many times after 342 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (15, 38, 45) with the draw of 8 January 2011 — its closest relative in 342 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 March 2012): 49 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

206

The numbers add up to 206 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 58% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
15≈ 19 by chance
$1,000
  • Match 4944≈ 1.0k by chance$30.00
  • Match 318,253≈ 18k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 944 winners, 6% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$6,800,000
    Match 515$1,000
    Match 4944$30.00
    Match 318,253$3.00
    Totals19,212—