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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Monday, 16 May 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 17
  3. 31
  4. 38
  5. 40
  6. 49

Jackpot$2,900,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 998 of 2,631 under them

← 2016-05-14All recent draws2016-05-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 17 31 38 40 4929 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 May 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.

  • sum80th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread95th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 122 of each

3128times
17127times
31124times
38109times
40

Prize breakdown · 2016-05-16

  • Lines in play≈ 393kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.9Mto 7.3k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 699%$2.9M
  • Match 40.4%$10.8K
  • Match 30.7%$20.8K
  • 1 other tier0.2%$5K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.03 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

135times
49117times

Every number was expected about that many times after 997 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (17, 31, 38, 40) with the draw of 29 April 2015 — its closest relative in 997 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 63% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 May 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

178

The numbers add up to 178 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 51% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$2,900,000
  • Match 55≈ 7.3 by chance$1,000
  • Match 4361≈ 381 by chance$30.00
  • Match 36,937≈ 6.9k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈393k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 6,937 winners, 0% more than the 6.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61$2,900,000
    Match 55$1,000
    Match 4361$30.00
    Match 36,937$3.00
    Totals7,304—