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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 23 July 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 22
  4. 31
  5. 45
  6. 48

Jackpot$2,900,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,027 of 2,631 under them

← 2016-07-20All recent draws2016-07-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 22 31 45 4829 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 July 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

73oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 73 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.

  • sum56th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 126 of each

4133times
5107times
22139times
31130times
45

Prize breakdown · 2016-07-23

  • Lines in play≈ 585kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$58Kto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 519%$11K
  • Match 428%$16.1K
  • Match 353%$31K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.04 by chance$2,900,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

121times
48126times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,026 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 22, 31, 45) with the draw of 20 December 2014 — its closest relative in 1,026 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 64% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 July 2016): 5 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

155

The numbers add up to 155 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
11≈ 11 by chance
$1,000
  • Match 4535≈ 566 by chance$30.00
  • Match 310,322≈ 10k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈585k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 535 winners, 6% fewer than the 566 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$2,900,000
    Match 511$1,000
    Match 4535$30.00
    Match 310,322$3.00
    Totals10,868—