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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 1 May 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 25
  3. 26
  4. 37
  5. 48
  6. 49

Jackpot$2,700,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,774 of 2,632 under them

← 2021-04-28All recent draws2021-05-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 25 26 37 48 4929 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.

  • sum94th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 217 of each

15205times
25210times
26232times
37237times
48

Prize breakdown · 2021-05-01

  • Lines in play≈ 614kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.8Mto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 698%$2.7M
  • Match 40.7%$18.8K
  • Match 31.2%$32.5K
  • 1 other tier0.2%$6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.04 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

204times
49212times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,773 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 25, 37, 49) with the draw of 27 April 2015 — its closest relative in 1,773 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 April 2021): 49 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

200

The numbers add up to 200 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26, 48–49. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 58% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$2,700,000
  • Match 56≈ 11 by chance$1,000
  • Match 4625≈ 595 by chance$30.00
  • Match 310,839≈ 11k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈614k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 625 winners, 5% more than the 595 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61$2,700,000
    Match 56$1,000
    Match 4625$30.00
    Match 310,839$3.00
    Totals11,471—