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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 1 October 2022

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 12
  3. 16
  4. 19
  5. 39
  6. 41

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,996 of 2,632 under them

← 2022-09-28All recent draws2022-10-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 12 16 19 39 4129 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 71% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 244 of each

8244times
12263times
16240times
19248times
39

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-01

  • Lines in play≈ 581kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.5Mto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 698%$2.4M
  • Match 40.7%$17.4K
  • Match 31.3%$30.8K
  • 1 other tier0.4%$11K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.04 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

260times
41228times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,995 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (12, 19, 39, 41) with the draw of 11 December 2017 — its closest relative in 1,995 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 September 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

135

The numbers add up to 135 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$2,400,000
  • Match 511≈ 11 by chance$1,000
  • Match 4580≈ 563 by chance$30.00
  • Match 310,255≈ 10k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈581k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 580 winners, 3% more than the 563 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61$2,400,000
    Match 511$1,000
    Match 4580$30.00
    Match 310,255$3.00
    Totals10,847—