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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 19 July 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 23
  3. 27
  4. 38
  5. 44
  6. 46

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,121 of 2,632 under them

← 2023-07-17All recent draws2023-07-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 23 27 38 44 4629 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread25th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 260 of each

15244times
23268times
27256times
38244times
44

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-19

  • Lines in play≈ 1.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$102.8Kto 19k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 518%$19K
  • Match 428%$29.3K
  • Match 353%$54.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.07 by chance$4,400,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

232times
46254times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,120 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 27, 44, 46) with the draw of 2 February 2011 — its closest relative in 2,120 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 July 2023): 15, 46 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

193

The numbers add up to 193 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 58% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
19≈ 19 by chance
$1,000
  • Match 4975≈ 997 by chance$30.00
  • Match 318,176≈ 18k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 975 winners, 2% fewer than the 997 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$4,400,000
    Match 519$1,000
    Match 4975$30.00
    Match 318,176$3.00
    Totals19,170—