Saturday, 14 June 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (10, 12, 18, 29) with the draw of 4 June 2011 — its closest relative in 1,520 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 June 2014): 10 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 82 — the 53th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 80. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 52% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.