Wednesday, 6 April 2011

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (25, 35, 39) with the draw of 23 June 2010 — its closest relative in 104 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 April 2011): 25, 26 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 190 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 58% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.