Saturday, 13 April 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (11, 16, 28) with the draw of 20 March 2013 — its closest relative in 315 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 April 2013): 16 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 151 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.