Saturday, 4 July 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (12, 28, 31, 46) with the draw of 9 November 2011 — its closest relative in 547 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 42% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 July 2015): 28 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 165 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.