Saturday, 1 October 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 7, 9, 36) with the draw of 10 September 2014 — its closest relative in 677 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 49% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 September 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 141 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 43% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.