Wednesday, 5 April 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 6, 31, 44) with the draw of 26 December 2015 — its closest relative in 730 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 51% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 April 2017): 6 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 160 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

49 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.