Wednesday, 14 June 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 9, 28, 29) with the draw of 26 October 2016 — its closest relative in 750 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 52% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 June 2017): 20 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 131 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9, 28–29. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.